"""Step 16:快速三买 + 大级别分型定位。 Step 15 证明两件事: - 大级别分型定位有判别力(同向 PF 0.55 vs 反向 0.29) - 但引擎三买基线太差(PF 0.50),因为要等回拉笔确认,滞后 9~10 根 本步把三买的确认从「等笔确认」换成「回抽当根实时判定」, 在同样的区间套结构下重测。 """ from __future__ import annotations import argparse import sys import warnings from pathlib import Path import numpy as np import pandas as pd warnings.filterwarnings("ignore") sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent)) from lib.breakout import run_trades, summarize_trades from lib.data import fetch_ohlcv from lib.fast_bsp3 import find_fast_bsp3 from lib.fx_signal import extract_fx_signals, signals_to_frame from lib.nested_bsp import attach_htf_context, htf_fx_timeline from lib.nested_level import build_htf_zones sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1])) from chanlun import TF_DF pd.set_option("display.width", 260) def show(rows: list[dict]) -> None: rows = [r for r in rows if r.get("笔数", 0) > 0] print(pd.DataFrame(rows).to_string(index=False) if rows else " (样本不足)") def main() -> None: ap = argparse.ArgumentParser() ap.add_argument("--symbol", default="BTC/USDT:USDT") ap.add_argument("--ltf", default="15m") ap.add_argument("--htf1", default="1h") ap.add_argument("--htf2", default="4h") ap.add_argument("--sl", type=float, default=1.5) ap.add_argument("--tp", type=float, default=3.0) ap.add_argument("--max-bars", type=int, default=48) args = ap.parse_args() df_l = fetch_ohlcv(args.symbol, args.ltf, 10**9) chan_l = TF_DF(df_l, 1, args.ltf) cdf_l = chan_l.dataframe zones = build_htf_zones(df_l, args.ltf) sig = find_fast_bsp3(cdf_l, zones) print(f"[小级别 {args.ltf}] {len(cdf_l)} 根K线 中枢 {len(zones)} " f"快速三类信号 {len(sig)}") if sig.empty: print("无信号") return print(f" 方向:三买 {(sig.direction == 1).sum()} / 三卖 {(sig.direction == -1).sum()}") print(f" 突破到入场滞后:中位 {sig['lag'].median():.0f} 根 " f"均值 {sig['lag'].mean():.1f} 根 —— 对照引擎三买 9~10 根") ctx = sig for tf, pref in ((args.htf1, "h1"), (args.htf2, "h2")): df_h = fetch_ohlcv(args.symbol, tf, 10**9) chan_h = TF_DF(df_h, 1, tf) sig_h = signals_to_frame(extract_fx_signals(chan_h, chan_h.dataframe)) ctx = attach_htf_context(ctx, cdf_l, htf_fx_timeline(sig_h, chan_h.dataframe), pref) a1 = ctx["h1_agree"] == 1 a2 = ctx["h2_agree"] == 1 print(f"\n[方向一致率] {args.htf1} {a1.mean() * 100:.0f}% " f"{args.htf2} {a2.mean() * 100:.0f}% 两者同时 {(a1 & a2).mean() * 100:.0f}%") E = lambda g: list(zip(g["entry_idx"].astype(int), g["direction"].astype(int))) T = lambda g, nm: summarize_trades( run_trades(cdf_l, E(g), args.sl, args.tp, args.max_bars), nm) print("\n########## 逐层过滤 ##########") rows = [ T(ctx, "A 全部快速三类"), T(ctx[a1], f"B +{args.htf1}同向"), T(ctx[a2], f"C +{args.htf2}同向"), T(ctx[a1 & a2], "D 双大级别同向"), T(ctx[~a1], f"F {args.htf1}反向(对照)"), ] show(rows) print("\n########## 回抽深度分层(越大表示回抽越浅、未插入中枢)##########") rows = [] q = ctx["depth"].quantile([0.33, 0.66]).to_numpy() for lo, hi, nm in [(-9, q[0], "深回抽"), (q[0], q[1], "中等"), (q[1], 9, "浅回抽")]: g = ctx[(ctx.depth >= lo) & (ctx.depth < hi)] if len(g) >= 20: rows.append(T(g, nm)) show(rows) print("\n########## 多空拆分(双大级别同向)##########") both = ctx[a1 & a2] rows = [T(both[both.direction == d], nm) for d, nm in ((1, "三买做多"), (-1, "三卖做空")) if len(both[both.direction == d]) >= 10] show(rows) print("\n########## 与 Step 15 引擎三买的直接对照 ##########") print(f" 引擎三买(等笔确认,滞后 9~10 根):675 笔 PF 0.50 t -7.87") a = T(ctx, "快速三买(实时判定)") print(f" 快速三买(回抽当根,滞后 {sig['lag'].median():.0f} 根):" f"{a['笔数']} 笔 PF {a['盈亏比PF']} t {a['t值']}") out = Path(__file__).parent / "out" / f"step16_fast_{args.symbol.split('/')[0]}_{args.ltf}.csv" out.parent.mkdir(exist_ok=True) ctx.to_csv(out, index=False) print(f"\n明细已写入 {out}") if __name__ == "__main__": main()